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General Election 2024: Final day odds and electoral forecasts in the Vale…

TOMORROW will see the Vale head to the polls for the 2024 general election.

Voters are being asked to choose their MP for the next parliament, with polls open from 7am until 10pm.

It will be the first general election where anyone casting a vote will be required to show photographic ID before heading to the booth – so be sure to have yours with you.

As we prepare to poll, we thought we’d have a last look at our constituencies and give the latest polling predictions from forecaster Electoral Calculus, as well as the latest available odds from bet365…

North Dorset:

Electoral Calculus (EC) probability of winning (by party):
Conservatives: 62%
Liberal Democrats: 28%
Labour: 6%
Reform UK: 5%
Green Party: 0%
Other: 0%

Bet365 odds:

Conservatives: 1/16
Labour: 9/1
Liberal Democrats: 12/1
Reform UK: 66/1
Green Party: 150/1

West Dorset:

EC probabilities:
Liberal Democrats: 88%
Conservatives: 7%
Labour: 2%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 3%
Other: 0%

Bet365 odds:

Liberal Democrats: 2/7
Conservatives: 5/2
Labour: 20/1
Reform UK: 150/1
Green Party: 200/1

South Dorset:

EC probabilities:
Liberal Democrats: 98%
Conservatives: 1%
Labour: 0%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 0%
Others: 0%

Bet365 odds:

Labour: 1/3
Conservatives: 9/4
Reform UK: 20/1
Liberal Democrats: 50/1
Green Party: 150/1

Mid Dorset and North Poole:

EC probabilities:
Conservatives: 64%
Liberal Democrats: 36%
Labour: 0%
Green Party: 0%
Others: 0%

Bet365 odds:

Liberal Democrats: 4/9
Conservatives: 13/8
Labour: 28/1
Reform UK: 66/1
Green Party: 200/1

East Wiltshire:

EC probabilities:
Labour: 62%
Conservatives: 32%
Reform UK: 4%
Liberal Democrats: 2%
Green Party: 0%
Others: 0%

Bet365 odds:

Conservatives: 1/10
Labour: 6/1
Liberal Democrats: 125/1
Reform UK: 125/1
Green Party: 250/1

South West Wiltshire:

EC probabilities:
Labour: 47%
Conservatives: 41%
Liberal Democrats: 3%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 8%
Other:0%

Bet365 odds:

Labour: 1/2
Conservatives: 6/4
Reform UK: 28/1
Liberal Democrats: 50/1
Green Party: 200/1

Salisbury:

EC probabilities:
Labour: 45%
Conservatives: 39%
Liberal Democrats: 15%
Reform UK: 1%
Green Party: 0%
Other:0%

Bet365 odds:

Conservatives: 4/9
Labour: 15/8
Liberal Democrats: 10/1
Reform UK: 300/1
Green Party: 500/1

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I am the editor in chief of Blackmore Vale media, which includes the New Blackmore Vale, New Stour & Avon, Salisbury & Avon Gazette and the Purbeck Gazette, having been a reporter for some 20 years. In my spare time, I am a festival lover, with a particular focus on Glastonbury. I live in Somerset with my wife and two children.